AScI Large Structures Seminar; Speaker: Duncan Blythe (TU Berlin): Prediction and Quantification of Individual Athletic Performance

When: 11.05.2015 at 11.00 Where: T5 at CS Building

Abstract:
We provide the scientific foundations for athletic performance
prediction on an individual level, exposing the phenomenology of
individual athletic performance in the form of a low-rank model
dominated by an individual power law. We present, evaluate, and compare
a selection of methods for prediction of individual running performance,
including our own, local matrix completion (LMC), which we show to
perform best. We also show that many documented phenomena in
quantitative sports science, such as the form of scoring tables, the
success of existing prediction methods including Riegel’s formula, the
Purdy points scheme, the power law for world records performances and
the broken power law for world record speeds may be explained on the
basis of our findings in a unified way.